Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-16 0.641551 0.799684 0.968744 1.161078 1.372113 1.595101 1.847067
2025-02-23 0.410731 0.623290 0.871761 1.174635 1.526124 1.914722 2.370878
2025-03-02 0.263039 0.483817 0.763469 1.123482 1.558467 2.054126 2.650055
2025-03-09 0.156718 0.367954 0.661575 1.061296 1.562966 2.150164 2.870672
2025-03-16 0.093817 0.292001 0.595285 1.029718 1.592706 2.265997 3.105228
2025-03-23 0.062613 0.255546 0.576174 1.053652 1.686806 2.455313 3.423381
2025-03-30 0.036582 0.216111 0.545386 1.056546 1.750311 2.604696 3.691867
2025-04-06 0.016206 0.173232 0.501122 1.035027 1.778141 2.707301 3.901916
2025-04-13 0.009587 0.162161 0.507434 1.084602 1.898593 2.924290 4.249881
2025-04-20 0.005039 0.152319 0.513926 1.133315 2.017263 3.138759 4.594743
2025-04-27 0.002441 0.146214 0.525976 1.189695 2.145968 3.365809 4.955115
2025-05-04 0.001712 0.151275 0.559457 1.278962 2.319722 3.650304 5.386421
2025-05-11 0.000329 0.143232 0.568933 1.335682 2.455727 3.895549 5.780908
2025-05-18 NaN 0.124321 0.553803 1.353556 2.539058 4.075343 6.097463
2025-05-25 NaN 0.089460 0.495464 1.297466 2.515848 4.115624 6.238926
2025-06-01 NaN 0.058786 0.434413 1.230475 2.473024 4.127545 6.342718
2025-06-08 NaN 0.040286 0.395560 1.196221 2.473635 4.193356 6.511321
2025-06-15 NaN 0.034049 0.391407 1.222156 2.561559 4.374045 6.824657
2025-06-22 NaN 0.025636 0.375500 1.225284 2.614998 4.508522 7.079258
2025-06-29 NaN 0.015951 0.346760 1.201986 2.627552 4.587532 7.262761
2025-07-06 NaN 0.015234 0.358405 1.255636 2.756181 4.822433 7.645278
2025-07-13 NaN 0.014476 0.369517 1.308271 2.883387 5.055611 8.025871
2025-07-20 NaN 0.014484 0.384771 1.369093 3.023216 5.306024 8.428801